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The last phase of voting in Bihar elections ended . Take a look at who is ahead
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| Bihar Assembly Election 2020 Exitpoll Result |
Bihar Exit Poll Results 2020 Live Update:
The last phase of voting in Bihar elections ended . This time, various parties and Biharis are waiting for the results. Opinions from various opinion polls suggest a landslide victory for the opposition 'Mahagathbandhan', which has more than 180 seats in the legislature and a two-thirds majority. With the RJD's Tejaswi Yadav Nitish Kumar likely to be the next Chief Minister, the BJP-JDU alliance is likely to win 55 seats. According to the predictions of the third and final phase of the Bihar Assembly elections, which ended today, the exit supporters also gave an edge to Tejaswi Yadav at first.
The Times Now-C-Voter poll predicts that the grand alliance will win 120 seats, the NDA 116 and the LJP a single seat, while the ABP-CVOT polls predict 104-128 seats for the NDA, 108-131 for the grand coalition and four seats for other parties. For eight seats.
Today's Chanakya exit survey will predict the chances of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) or the opposition alliance 'Mahagathabandhan' coming to power in the state. Polls will be based on voter responses and the results will be announced a few weeks after the survey on sample responses from voters who exercise their voting right. According to the Election Commission of India, the turnout in the third and final phase of Assembly elections is 45.85% till 3 pm. Voting begins at 7 a.m. in 78 assembly constituencies spread across 15 districts of Uttar Bihar.
➤➣➢Some factors may affect the outcome of the Bihar polls.
RJD + Wins EBC & SC Votes: A significant portion of the economically backward class and Scheduled Caste votes behind Chief Minister Nitish Kumar are now almost equally divided between the JD (U) + RJD +. The survey found that 40% of the ABC population supported the JD (U) -BJP alliance and 33% supported the RJD-Congress alliance. Among Scheduled Caste voters, 39% said they were with the NDA and 34% said they supported the Mahagathbandhan (MGB).
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Bihar Assembly Election Result Exitpoll
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Bihar Exit Polls 2020 | Let's take a look at the estimates of various exit polls for the 243-seat Bihar Assembly elections. The majority required for a party or alliance of parties is 122. Even the fate of the incoming Chief Minister Nitish Kumar and the aspiring youth leaders Tejaswi Yadav and Chirag Paswan will be written.
➤➣➢ Today’s Chanakya
Mahagathbandhan - 180
NDA - 55
Others - 8
➤➣➢Times Now C-Voter
Mahagathbandhan - 120
NDA - 116
LJP - 1
Others - 6
➤➣➢ Republic-Jan Ki Baat
Mahagathbandhan - 118-138
NDA - 91-117
LJP - 5-8
Others - 3-6
➤➣➢ABP-CVoter
Mahagathbandhan - 108-131
NDA - 104-128
Others - 04-08
➤➣➢ TV9 Bharatvarsh
Mahagathbandhan - 115-125
NDA - 110-120
LJP - 03-05
Others - 10-15
The NDA led by Nitish Kumar is preferred by those above 36 years of age According to India Today-Axis My India exit polls, 36-year-olds (45% or more) are in favor of voting for the BJP-led NDA government. The forecast said that in 26 to 35 years, 47% of the opposition would support the grand coalition and 36% would support the NDA, while only 7% would vote for the LJP.
63% want change in government, Tejaswi Yadav is their top choice for PM.
What has Tejaswi done for Yadav? As the results of the Bihar exit survey for the RJD flow, one of the most important reasons for Tejaswi Yadav's work may be a strong Muslim-Yadav caste equation / advantage for the party. The results may be affected. Further, in contrast to the fighting between the BJP-JD (U) and the LJP, there is a strong risk that the Mahagathbandhan will be strengthened as there is no conflict or confusion within the alliance. The promise of jobs in the face of anti-incumbency against Nitish is going to make the prospects of RJD even brighter.
Bihar Election Exit Polls 2020 | Exit polls also show that the death of actor Sushant Singh Rajput failed to have any impact on Bihar politics or the outcome of the Assembly elections.
Bihar Exit Polls 2020: Modi Wave Weak | Exit polls in Bihar show that the state, dubbed the 'Modi wave', is ineffective and the growing unemployment and epidemic crisis has turned the people against Nitish Kumar. The crime rate, which is almost double that of the country, may be the reason for the collapse of the people of Kumar Bihar.
Caste-wise analysis of voting pattern: The survey found that upper caste voters voted 60% for BJP-JDU, and 29% for Congress-RJD. It further said that 69% of the Yadavs voted for the RJD-Congress, and 22% chose the BJP-JDU. According to the survey, Muslim voters are in favor of RJD-Congress.
37% rated Nitish Kumar's work as 'poor': 37% of respondents described current Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's work as 'poor', while 29% described it as 'average' and 21% as 'good'
Indications of Exit Polls: Changes in Roles in the NDA Exit polls suggest possible change in party roles and positions within Bihar's NDA alliance. This is because the BJP is likely to dominate the JD (U) 's credibility in the state.
Exit polls indicate: Anti-incumbency against Nitesh Bihar's exit polls paint a strong picture of strong opposition against Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, saying the Kobid-19 and the immigration crisis factor could turn public sentiment against him.
The 243-strong assembly, which has about 2.34 crore voters in 78 assemblies, will decide the fate of 1,204 candidates, including the speaker and 12 members of the state cabinet. As in the previous two phases, Chirag Paswan's LJP is in the fray for several seats. Although the NDA has been vocal until a few months ago, poll pundits have begun to predict a "wind of change" and Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Nitish Kumar are making emotional appeals to voters that the ruling coalition seems to have taken note of.
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