Epidemiologists and virologists say the Covid epidemic is now becoming transition from an epidemic to a local level within a month,
An endemic disease means it never actually goes away and often returns periodically in a specific season or region-like Polio,says Epidemologists |
Epidemiologists and virologists say the Covid epidemic is now becoming a endemic phase. "India will see a transition from an epidemic to a local level within a month," explained Dr. Jacob John, a retired professor at Christian Medical College (Vellore) and head of the Department of Clinical Virology and Microbiology.
"An endemic disease means it never actually goes away and often returns periodically in a specific season or region. "R is more than one during an epidemic and immunity is less than R1 when the control system or proliferation is reduced," he said.
However, Dr N Manjunath, director of the Joydev Institute of Cardiology, said, “There are many symptoms that can be noticed in local diseases. Some may be present at low levels throughout the year, while others may be associated with low transmission times during high transmission periods. "" P 3
'Covid must be eradicated with polio vaccine'
"It simply came to our notice then. It could come back once a year until vaccines like polio are eradicated, ”said Dr Manjunath, director of the Joydev Institute of Cardiology.
The positive rate in Karnataka has averaged 0.8% in the last few weeks, said Dr John.
According to Dr. Giridhar Babu, advisor to the Covid Task Force, “The case has been closed for the last few months. Positive rates have also declined. The second phase sero-survey is present in all the districts.
We will analyze the data to find out what the virus is doing. The rationale for reaching the local level is still at the stage of conjecture. “Now the government should not reduce epidemics, but rather prevent deaths,” Dr. John said. "The government must put them at risk of death and give them priority in vaccinating and providing people with comorbidities ."
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